Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 79.859704 89.493642 99.315128 110.045549 121.408476 133.054119 145.862916
2025-09-07 65.832433 79.840599 94.725207 111.591357 130.051488 149.532248 171.536543
2025-09-14 57.588632 74.126003 92.238816 113.290738 136.844921 162.171542 191.254372
2025-09-21 49.729183 67.815730 88.202381 112.450950 140.112093 170.335010 205.520807
2025-09-28 42.505729 61.460244 83.441270 110.168133 141.206428 175.611983 216.155765
2025-10-05 39.840454 60.220625 84.358957 114.176753 149.240918 188.495613 235.133509
2025-10-12 36.792833 58.199509 84.097333 116.587359 155.254955 198.949247 251.258088
2025-10-19 32.689729 54.492613 81.510556 115.986971 157.551382 204.984620 262.222301
2025-10-26 29.075485 51.119559 79.096405 115.386870 159.674305 210.680021 272.678271
2025-11-02 26.405457 48.790044 77.825572 116.041924 163.176475 217.889084 284.804710
2025-11-09 23.403113 45.754885 75.460294 115.179178 164.720613 222.701147 294.067657
2025-11-16 21.104650 43.530244 74.012355 115.352610 167.431382 228.819464 304.797744
2025-11-23 18.490630 40.654377 71.581739 114.205521 168.497127 232.997647 313.306757
2025-11-30 16.980925 39.330151 71.175092 115.613187 172.692906 240.906646 326.217869
2025-12-07 15.724256 38.290441 71.084659 117.374939 177.288239 249.268184 339.647398
2025-12-14 13.792741 35.977817 69.081740 116.513518 178.507503 253.489458 348.109847
2025-12-21 11.649980 33.076965 66.076644 114.184509 177.763324 255.242821 353.558376
2025-12-28 11.386563 33.438656 67.821186 118.275117 185.231436 267.054457 371.093491
2026-01-04 10.730775 33.029519 68.387613 120.734517 190.588778 276.269534 385.507854
2026-01-11 9.395168 31.220209 66.767283 120.122020 191.927419 280.497158 393.878966
2026-01-18 8.186545 29.505243 65.197616 119.509790 193.214397 284.623692 402.100322
2026-01-25 7.352853 28.439059 64.572582 120.178082 196.147189 290.777315 412.773547
2026-02-01 6.298220 26.762783 62.898784 119.297895 196.994081 294.294068 420.209357